Interim -Union- Budget 2009-10 - falls expectations

The interim budget announced by the acting finance minister Pranab Mukherjee, falls the market expectations the budget didnot contain the announcements expected by the industry. Mr Mukherjee, said the agenda of the Manmohan Singh government was of change and every effort has been made by the government to deliver on the commitment. He said the economy grew at 9 per cent for three straight years. The country’s per capital income grew at 7.4 per annum for four years. He also said the gross domestic savings rate stood at 37.7 per cent during 2007-08.
Following are the highlights of the Budget:

Rs 4,900 cr allocated to Bharat Nirman Scheme
Rs 8,300 cr for mid-day meal scheme
Rs 1,200 crore for Total Sanitation Programme
Rs 6705 cr allocated for child development schemes
Tax collections in 2008-09 to exceed that of 2007-08
FY09 fiscal deficit seen at 6% of GDP vs 2.5 %
Tax collections down by Rs 60,000 crore over estimates
Plan expenditure revised to 3 lakh crore
Revenue deficit revisied at 4.4% of GDP
Custom duties rates steadily reduced in UPA rule
Tax collection to increase in 2008-09
Govt expenditure estimate revised to over 9 lakh crores
Pranab Mukherjee resumes Interim Budget speech
Kerala MP falls ill; session adjourned for 10 minutes
Part of NIF proceeds also to be used for capital investment
PSU turnover up 84%
Centre has pumped in Rs 652 cr into Regional Rural Banks
Personal Income tax structure has been rationalised
Tax rates must fall during the time of crisis
Turnover of PSUs rose by 84% in 2003-08
Young widows to get priority in ITI admissions
The RIDA corpus was hiked from Rs 5,500 to Rs 14,000 cr
Indira Gandhi National Widow Pension Scheme for widows
Govt to provide subsidy to farmers in 2009-10
Six new IITs started in 2008-09
Educational loan schemes revised
2 new IITs in MP and Rajasthan in 2009-10
Rs 65,300 crore in loans loans waived off for farmers
Industrial production fell by 2 pct in 2008 on a YoY basis
Govt took prompt stimulus packages to curb slowdown
Allocation to agriculture increased by 300%
Outlay for higher education increased 900 per cent
Govt took prompt stimulus packages to curb slowdown
Govt approved 37 infrastructure projects
Tax to GDP ration risen by 12.5%
60.12 lakh houses built under Indira Awaas Yojna
Highest priority to rural development
Per Capita income grew by 7.4% in UPA regimen
Agri revival package implemented in 25 states
Employment generation schemes to be expanded
Economic growth has to be sustainable and inclusive
Manufacturing and agriculture sector are the growth drivers
FRPM targets being relaxed
Export growth for the first 9 months of the current year down to 17.1%
Export growth slowed down to 17.1% for the last 9 months
Export growth at 26.4% annually in the last 4 years
Government has approved 37 new infrastructure projects
Serious chocking of credit due to global downturn
Export growth at 26.4% annually in the last 4 years
India second fastest growing economy at 7.1% growth
Agriculture annual growth rate 3.7%
Savings rate up to 30.7% in 2008
Farmers real heroes of our success story
Investment rate has grown to 39%
Fiscal deficit down by 2.7%
Focus to maintain growth rate of 7-8%

Intrtaday levels and calls 16-02-09

We may see some sops for fertilisers, Automobile, Infra & Real Estate& Exports sectors in the interim budget . So keep an eye on them .

Trading Levels:

Reliance (Spot Levels) Pivot Point - 1385.8
Resistance: 1415.84 - 1432.26
Support: 1368.97 - 1352.54

LT (spot) Pivot Point- 699.22
Resistance 716.07 - 725.79
Support 688.33 - 678.61

Market View 16-02-2009

Good Morning....!!!

Nifty (spot) Levels for the day are: 2870,2899,2915,2945,2960,2999,3012

Today is a crutial day in INDIAN stock market for the year 2009, Mr Pranav Mukherjee , The FIN. Minister of the Manmohansingh GOVT. is to present the FAREWELL (Interim) Budget. Indian markets expected to open flat to negative but may trade rangebound , Do not expect any major moves either side and will experience high rangebound trade and we may see lot of volatility during the presention of the interim budget in Parliament.

We advice members not to trade in huge quantities and it would be best idea to stay away from the markets for the dayor trade with strict stop losses. Airline stocks may be in limelight as the oil marketing companies further reduced the priceson Avation fuel.

US markets were weak in friday with DOW ending nearly 1% down ,Crudetoo is trading near the 38$ per barrel.The much awaited stimulus package is approved by the congress and thePresident Mr Barrack Obama is expected to sign on tuesday. Asian markets opened weak leaving SANGHAI which is trading with 1%gains . NIKKIE and HANSENG are trading in red.

Market has gone up in the past couple of days due to speculation on tax relief's and other soaps to industries. It was as event based movement which will be out today. All policy decisions will take time to show recovery and growth and doesn't have single day implication. Hence is it advised to book profits at every higher levels unless there is more fuel than what is expected in the interim budget.